Liberty Media Corp (LSXMA)·Q4 2023 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Mixed quarter: Liberty SiriusXM Group revenue was flat year-over-year at $2.29B, with Adjusted OIBDA down 6% and Operating Income down 14%; Formula One Group delivered a very strong Q4 driven by the inaugural Las Vegas Grand Prix, with revenue up 63% and Adjusted OIBDA up 80% year-over-year .
- Management advanced strategic simplification, reiterating plans to complete the combination of Liberty SiriusXM Group with SiriusXM in early Q3 2024; LSXM Group reduced attributed debt by $279M in Q4 (–$782M for FY23) and retired its 1.375% converts .
- SiriusXM (stand-alone) achieved FY23 revenue of $8.95B, adjusted EBITDA of $2.79B and free cash flow of $1.20B, and announced 2024 financial guidance (details in SIRI release), while launching a next-gen app; Live Nation fair value marked $6.5B at year-end .
- Stock reaction catalysts: continued execution on the LSXM/SiriusXM combination timeline, sustained F1 commercial momentum (Las Vegas, new race deals), and capital allocation (debt reduction, $1.1B remaining repurchase authorization at Liberty Media) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Formula 1 momentum: Q4 revenue +63% YoY to $1.23B with Adjusted OIBDA +80% to $243M, buoyed by Las Vegas GP hospitality and sponsorship/media growth; FY23 primary revenue +21% and other revenue +42% .
- Strategic progress and simplification: LSXM/SiriusXM combination targeted early Q3 2024; LSXM Group debt reduced by $279M in Q4 and $782M for FY23; retired 1.375% converts and reduced margin loan usage .
- Management tone and growth vectors: “Formula 1 had another fantastic year with double digit growth across all revenue streams… Las Vegas Grand Prix generated massive global buzz” (Greg Maffei); F1 CEO highlighted record attendance, fastest social growth among leagues, stronger US/youth/female audience, and 2026 Madrid race announcement .
What Went Wrong
- Liberty SiriusXM Group margin pressure: Q4 Adjusted OIBDA fell 6% YoY (to $688M) and Operating Income fell 14% YoY (to $455M) despite flat revenue, reflecting cost dynamics and corporate SG&A .
- Higher F1 costs: Other cost of revenue and team payments increased on Las Vegas GP operations and broader hospitality/travel/partner servicing; SG&A also elevated on personnel/IT/marketing (full-year), partly offset by FX favorability .
- Limited estimate visibility at LSXMA level: S&P Global consensus for Q4 2023 at the LSXMA tracker level was unavailable via our toolset, constraining explicit vs-consensus comparisons (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates error].
Financial Results
Liberty SiriusXM Group – Quarterly Performance
Notes: Revenue equals SiriusXM revenue attributed to Liberty SiriusXM Group .
Formula One Group – Quarterly Performance
F1 Revenue Composition – Quarterly
Additional KPIs and Capital Structure (Select)
SiriusXM (stand-alone, FY23): Revenue $8.95B, Net Income $1.26B, Diluted EPS $0.32, Adjusted EBITDA $2.79B, Free Cash Flow $1.20B; 2024 guidance announced by SiriusXM (see SIRI release) .
Guidance Changes
Note: Liberty’s Q4 materials reference SIRI guidance but do not include ranges; refer to SiriusXM’s own earnings release for specifics .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Greg Maffei, President & CEO: “Formula 1 had another fantastic year with double digit growth across all revenue streams. The Las Vegas Grand Prix generated massive global buzz… SiriusXM progressed a number of strategic achievements, launching its next generation app and investing in marquee talent while managing its cost structure” .
- Stefano Domenicali, F1 CEO: “2023 marked another incredible season for Formula 1… record race attendance… fastest growing league on social media for the fourth consecutive year… excited for the 2024 season as we focus on deepening our relationships with fans and optimizing our commercial partnerships” .
Q&A Highlights
The full Q4 2023 earnings call transcript was not accessible via our tools (paywalled on third-party sites). As a result, we cannot provide direct Q&A excerpts or additional guidance clarifications beyond what is contained in Liberty’s press release .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus for LSXMA Q4 2023 was unavailable via our toolset due to a missing mapping for LSXMA, so we cannot present revenue/EPS/EBITDA vs-consensus comparisons for the tracker level at this time [SpgiEstimatesError].
- Where investors need estimate context, we recommend referencing SiriusXM (SIRI) and Formula One Group (FWONA/FWONK) consensus directly for underlying asset-level comparisons; however, those were outside the scope of this Liberty-specific tool pull.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Formula One Group produced a powerful Q4/FY finish with outsized Las Vegas GP contributions and new commercial deals; momentum into 2024 remains a core upside driver for Liberty’s portfolio .
- Liberty SiriusXM Group delivered flat revenue with lower OIBDA and Operating Income; focus turns to realizing synergies/valuation benefits from the announced LSXM/SiriusXM combination targeted for early Q3 2024 .
- Balance sheet actions at LSXM Group (retired 1.375% converts, reduced margin loan) de-risk the equity and create headroom for the combination; ongoing debt paydown is a supportive medium-term theme .
- F1 cost intensity (hospitality, event ops, travel) will ebb and flow with calendar mix (e.g., Vegas), but rising primary revenues (media/sponsorship/promotion) and improving team payment ratio (63% vs 66% in FY22) support incremental operating leverage .
- Watch for near-term catalysts: regulatory/transaction milestones for the LSXM/SiriusXM combination, F1 schedule/commercial updates, and capital allocation signals (repurchase authorization remains $1.1B) .
- With LSXMA-level consensus unavailable here, investors should triangulate bottom-up through SIRI and FWONA/FWONK estimates to gauge revisions risk post Q4 prints.
Appendix: Prior Quarter Benchmarks (for trajectory)
- Liberty SiriusXM Group Q3 2023: Revenue $2.271B; Operating Income $528M; Adjusted OIBDA $736M .
- Liberty SiriusXM Group Q2 2023: Revenue $2.250B; Operating Income $452M; Adjusted OIBDA $694M .
- Formula One Group Q3 2023: Revenue $887M; Adjusted OIBDA $197M (8 races vs 7 prior year) .
- Formula One Group Q2 2023: Revenue $724M; Adjusted OIBDA $141M (6 races vs 7 prior year due to Imola cancellation) .
Sources: Liberty Media Q4 2023 Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 press release (Feb 28, 2024) ; Q3 2023 press release (Nov 3, 2023) ; Q2 2023 press release (Aug 4, 2023) . Earnings call logistics and third-party transcript references: Liberty IR calendar and external sites .